INC won Inner and Outer Manipur in 2024. The margins were 109,801 and 85,418 votes respectively; these parliamentary outcomes cannot be mechanically converted into Assembly seats.
CEO Manipur 2024 report, PDF pp.32, 34. Bars use a 0–100% scale. Assembly-segment allocation remains under review.
What the official totals establish
Angomcha Bimol Akoijam received 3,74,017 votes in Inner Manipur; BJP’s Thounaojam Basanta Kumar Singh received 2,64,216. Across the six candidates, the published candidate-vote total is 7,93,100. The winning share on that denominator is about 47.16%, with a margin of about 13.84 percentage points.
In Outer Manipur, Alfred Kanngam S Arthur received 3,84,954 votes, compared with 2,99,536 for Kachui Timothy Zimik. Across four candidates, the candidate-vote total is 7,89,510. The winning share is about 48.76%, and the margin about 10.82 percentage points. NOTA is excluded from these denominators.
A result below half is still a valid plurality
Neither winner exceeded half of candidate votes. In Inner Manipur, the third-placed candidate received 1,35,640 votes, making the rest of the field analytically relevant. In Outer Manipur, the two independents together received 1,05,020 votes.
These votes cannot be reassigned to another party by arithmetic alone. A hypothetical combined total assumes voter behaviour that the count does not observe. Candidate choice, alliance arrangements and the election’s political scale differ from the earlier Assembly contest.
Why parliamentary and Assembly results do not map automatically
A parliamentary constituency aggregates many Assembly segments. A party can win the larger constituency while trailing in some segments, and postal or special polling arrangements require careful allocation before segment totals can be reconstructed. The present dataset has not completed that reconciliation.
The site therefore publishes the two parliamentary results and their candidate bars, but does not colour all sixty Assembly seats according to the parliamentary winner. Doing so would visually invent sixty outcomes from two aggregate observations.
A source discrepancy remains visible
The official report’s candidate table uses an inconsistent party label for Kachui Timothy Zimik. The party aggregate identifies the 2,99,536 votes as NPF, which is the normalized label used here. The discrepancy is retained in the dataset’s notes rather than silently erased.
The 2024 extraction has been reviewed against source page images and the party aggregate. Turnout and NOTA remain unavailable in the published normalized record. A candidate-vote total is not a replacement for all ballots or registered electors.
What the next comparison requires
A defensible Assembly-segment analysis needs the official segment-wise EVM totals, postal-ballot treatment and special polling-station treatment, followed by reconciliation to each parliamentary total. Every allocation rule should be published before interpreting local changes.
Even with that work complete, a 2022-to-2024 comparison would describe different elections with different candidate fields and contexts. It would not identify individual voter movement or establish a forecast for 2027.
PRIMARY EVIDENCE & REPRODUCIBILITY
Read the sources.
- CEO Manipur · Lok Sabha statistical report 2024 ↗
PDF pp.32 and 34; party aggregate and candidate totals
- Normalized parliamentary record ↗
Ten candidates; denominator and party-label notes
Calculations are descriptive. Sources retain their stated reference periods. Related internal pages link to underlying documents and review notes. Corrections and missing fields remain visible in the source register.