ASSEMBLY CONSTITUENCY 07 / GEN

Andro.

Three Assembly elections, read through the candidate-level public record.

2012

THOUNAOJAM SHYAMKUMAR

AITC · official election-day winner

Full candidate totals not reconciled

Candidate results have not passed transcription and reconciliation for this election.

↗ CEO Manipur · 2012 report ↗

2017

THOUNAOJAM SHYAMKUMAR

INC · official election-day winner

Full candidate totals not reconciled

Candidate results have not passed transcription and reconciliation for this election.

↗ CEO Manipur · 2017 report ↗

CONSTITUENCY RESEARCH NOTE / AC 07

Andro,
beneath the headline.

CALCULATED FINDING / COMPLETE WINNER COVERAGE

Andro changed its election-day winning party in 2 of the two observed transitions between 2012, 2017 and 2022. Both observed transitions involved a different winning party. That pattern does not identify individual voter movement or explain why the changes occurred.

2012AITC

THOUNAOJAM SHYAMKUMAR

2017INC

THOUNAOJAM SHYAMKUMAR

2022BJP

Thounaojam Shyamkumar

↗ CEO Manipur · independent winner registers for all three elections. Election-day representation, not present Assembly membership.

COMPETITION

2022 · the latest reconciled contest

Thounaojam Shyamkumar received 16,739 of 33,303 candidate votes (50.26%). Lourembam Sanjoy Singh followed with 15,282 (45.89%). The margin was 1,457 votes, or 4.37 percentage points of candidate votes.

The winner exceeded half of candidate votes. This is a majority on this denominator, not a majority of registered electors. The top two candidates together accounted for 96.15%, leaving 3.85% for the remaining candidates.

The contest had 4 candidates and an effective-candidate count of 2.15. The latter weights candidates by vote share: it distinguishes a field with many very small candidacies from one with several substantial competitors.

↗ Official Form 20 · PDF p.79 ↗. Descriptive metrics, not a forecast.

COMPARISON

Read comparable denominators.

1 of three elections have a full published candidate contest for Andro. Missing years interrupt the numerical series. A blank cell is a research gap, not zero support.

Margin percentage divides the winner–runner-up gap by all candidate votes in that election. It is not turnout, not a percentage of electors, and not a uniform swing required at the next election. Changes can reflect candidates, alliances, entry, participation and other conditions.

A cross-election party-share comparison is withheld until at least two complete contests are available. The party sequence above remains valid independently of those missing vote totals.

Interpreting the result as incumbent retention requires dated officeholding, by-election and party-switch records. Similar candidate names across years are not sufficient to establish personal continuity.

Andro · contest structure and denominators
YearCandidate votesWinning shareMarginMargin / votesTop two shareEffective candidates
2012Not availableUnavailableNot availableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
2017Not availableUnavailableNot availableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
202233,30350.26%1,4574.37 pp96.15%2.15

What needs a separate local evidence base

Current service access, displacement, livelihoods, road reliability, public works and rehabilitation outcomes need dated local records. State averages and historical map district labels cannot establish these conditions for Andro. Community composition and individual political preferences are not inferred from a candidate's name, reservation category or constituency geography.

Read the statewide transition and competition study ↗

Continuity
and change.

Compare election-day candidates and parties. A change in winning party does not establish why voters changed their choices. Defections, by-elections and boundary changes require separate records.

District and hill/valley classification are withheld until a versioned administrative crosswalk is reviewed. Historical map district labels are not presented as current districts.

Return to the electoral atlas ↗