ASSEMBLY CONSTITUENCY 36 / GEN

Wabgai.

Three Assembly elections, read through the candidate-level public record.

2012

MD. FAJUR RAHIM

INC · official election-day winner

Full candidate totals not reconciled

Candidate results have not passed transcription and reconciliation for this election.

↗ CEO Manipur · 2012 report ↗

2022

Dr.usham Deben Singh

BJP · official election-day winner

Full candidate totals not reconciled

Candidate results have not passed transcription and reconciliation for this election.

↗ CEO Manipur · 2022 report ↗

CONSTITUENCY RESEARCH NOTE / AC 36

Wabgai,
beneath the headline.

CALCULATED FINDING / COMPLETE WINNER COVERAGE

Wabgai changed its election-day winning party in 1 of the two observed transitions between 2012, 2017 and 2022. One transition retained the previous winning party and one changed it. The sequence matters more than a single endpoint comparison.

2012INC

MD. FAJUR RAHIM

2017INC

MD. FAJUR RAHIM

2022BJP

Dr.usham Deben Singh

↗ CEO Manipur · independent winner registers for all three elections. Election-day representation, not present Assembly membership.

COMPETITION

2017 · the latest reconciled contest

Md. Fajur Rahim received 12,474 of 27,505 candidate votes (45.35%). Dr. Usham Deben Singh followed with 7,713 (28.04%). The margin was 4,761 votes, or 17.31 percentage points of candidate votes.

The winner did not exceed half of candidate votes. Winning under plurality rules does not require support from a majority on this denominator. The top two candidates together accounted for 73.39%, leaving 26.61% for the remaining candidates.

The contest had 6 candidates and an effective-candidate count of 3.08. The latter weights candidates by vote share: it distinguishes a field with many very small candidacies from one with several substantial competitors.

↗ Official Form 20 · PDF p.126 ↗. Descriptive metrics, not a forecast.

COMPARISON

Read comparable denominators.

1 of three elections have a full published candidate contest for Wabgai. Missing years interrupt the numerical series. A blank cell is a research gap, not zero support.

Margin percentage divides the winner–runner-up gap by all candidate votes in that election. It is not turnout, not a percentage of electors, and not a uniform swing required at the next election. Changes can reflect candidates, alliances, entry, participation and other conditions.

A cross-election party-share comparison is withheld until at least two complete contests are available. The party sequence above remains valid independently of those missing vote totals.

Interpreting the result as incumbent retention requires dated officeholding, by-election and party-switch records. Similar candidate names across years are not sufficient to establish personal continuity.

Wabgai · contest structure and denominators
YearCandidate votesWinning shareMarginMargin / votesTop two shareEffective candidates
2012Not availableUnavailableNot availableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
201727,50545.35%4,76117.31 pp73.39%3.08
2022Not availableUnavailableNot availableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

What needs a separate local evidence base

Current service access, displacement, livelihoods, road reliability, public works and rehabilitation outcomes need dated local records. State averages and historical map district labels cannot establish these conditions for Wabgai. Community composition and individual political preferences are not inferred from a candidate's name, reservation category or constituency geography.

Read the statewide transition and competition study ↗

Continuity
and change.

Compare election-day candidates and parties. A change in winning party does not establish why voters changed their choices. Defections, by-elections and boundary changes require separate records.

District and hill/valley classification are withheld until a versioned administrative crosswalk is reviewed. Historical map district labels are not presented as current districts.

Return to the electoral atlas ↗